Recently I talked to a friend. He sent me some numbers. Let’s just think them through.
Revenue from oil export. Q1 only.
1Q2012: $46.2 billion
1Q2013: $43.1 billion
1Q2014: $36.4 billion
1Q2015: $21.3 billion
1Q2016: $14.1 billion
Now, for Q1 again, the volume of foreign trade:
1Q2012: $199.9 billion
1Q2013: $194.8 billion
1Q2014: $189.3 billion
1Q2015: $132.9 billion
1Q2016: $97.7 billion
As for me – it is impressive.
What will these “great political and economic strategists” do next? Well, there are 2 options.
First. Urgently turn the country into Gulag in order to have free labor force, which will serve (build, plow, sow, mine resources) those who are “outside”. In fact, turn the country into a “closed zone” and continuous prison.
Ok, let’s assume this option. But, judging by the numbers, money are just about to run out. So, the time is very limited, and they should’ve “re-formatted” the country into a prison much earlier.
So, it turns out that it is not a way out. Of course, they won’t give up on the idea ”give them hell, so they sit quietly”. But a total Gulag is not an option. At least due to the tight deadlines.
Option Two. Trade land. For example, return the Kuril Islands to Japan for good money. Trade Far Eastern lands and Trans-Baikalia to China (we’re talking not about a lease, but giving away territories), give them the whole of Eastern Siberia, and later – the Western all the way up to the Urals. At the same time, gradually rise guard towers and barbed wire in the European part, and rule here until all of botox runs out of Putin’s nose …
Well, what else?
Do you have any other options? Maybe there is something more humane and civilized? If there is then I’ll believe in my “biased” view of things.
Gas revenue (also Q1):
1Q2012: $18.9 billion
1Q2013: $18.0 billion
1Q2014: $18.0 billion
1Q2015: $11.5 billion
1Q2016: $8.5 billion